Top 5 NCAAF mammoth spread busters for Week 6
After a second consecutive 4-1 week, the underdogs are officially back! We have increased our overall record to 14-11 and almost hit another huge moneyline with North Carolina over Clemson. This week there are not many options with the plus 20 spread, but we strongly feel there are still winners available!
This is a classic trap game scenario here for the Tigers. An early kickoff (11:00 a.m. local time) against a non-conference opponent the week before a crucial conference game (Florida). The Aggies have a balanced offense averaging 206.7 rushing yards per game and 326.2 passing yards per game. Utah State is 9-3 ATS in the past three seasons in non-conference games and I expect they will catch LSU off guard in this game to keep it close.
This Kansas team is not your typical, terrible, 50-point loss, get run over by everyone Jayhawk team of the past. Kansas has an impressive win over Boston College and a close loss with West Virginia already this season. This could also be a trap game for the Sooners as they have their huge Red River Rivalry game next weekend with Texas.
Oklahoma has covered the spread three consecutive games and is 0-2 ATS in the past three seasons after three or more consecutive covers. I like Kansas to keep this one close enough to cover this massive spread.
After a disappointing opening week loss to Wyoming, the Tigers have bounced back with three impressive performances. However, they are about to run into the giant slayers from Troy. The Trojans are 9-0 ATS in the past three seasons when playing a team with a winning record.
I expect this to be a high scoring game as both offenses average over 38 points per game. That does not bode well for a Missouri cover, as they are 5-8 ATS in the past three seasons when the total is greater than or equal to 63 points. I predict the Trojans will turn this into a shootout, and the last team with the ball may come out on top.
If you are looking strictly at talent in this matchup, then you probably want nothing to do with taking the Volunteers in this one. However, Tennessee will not put up with being the laughing stock of the SEC and will come out strong at home on national TV off a bye week. In comparison, Georgia only defeated Vanderbilt by 24 points on the road. I believe that Tennessee will want to put up a better showing than that, and they will.
These are just two bad teams playing each other. UMass finally got a victory last week when they upset Akron. FIU’s only victory came against New Hampshire, an FCS opponent.
The Minutemen are 3-0 ATS in the past three seasons as a road underdog of more than 21 points and 4-0 ATS in the past three seasons after a two-game home stand. The Panthers are 2-7 ATS in the past three seasons as a home favorite. I do not understand why this spread is so large when both teams are so bad. I foresee a single digit spread in this game.
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